Problem 1: Allowing others to set your goals for you.
This actually happens a lot with Asian children who are expected to either enter a profession that is deemed prestigious like medicine or one that can earn them a lot of money like banking. So we have the classic case of the good Asian daughter who becomes a doctor just to please her parents. On the day she becomes a fully qualified doctor, she thought she would be very happy but surprise, surprise - that joy just wasn't there. This was because the filial Asian daughter had been so focused on making her parents happy that she totally neglected to make herself happy. Now this seems pretty obvious when I explain it like that but she probably had assumed that her parents had her best interests at heart and thus trusted their judgment when it came to her career path. Since she had willingly gone along with their decision, they had simply assumed that she was totally happy with that career path. The Asian daughter would've been told, you want respect? Doctors so respected and it is seen as one of the most noble professions - what could be more noble than treating the sick? You want make a lot of money? Most doctors can earn a lot of money once they climb their career ladders and become specialists. All these arguments sound logical of course, but if the Asian daughter doesn't really want to become a doctor, then she is not going to find happiness working as a doctor. This happened in my family - my parents were under a lot of pressure to have a son because of their Chinese culture which placed so much emphasis on them having a son. After having two daughters, they were determined to keep going until they got a son and that was when I came along. But did it make them happy? No, in fact it made them more miserable. They had one more child to bring up and money was tight, we were a poor family. But more to the point, my parents were already fighting all the time and having a son wasn't going to fix all of those problems - I know my mother was thinking, "okay, now I've finally given my husband a son, so where's my reward then? Is life going to get better now?" It was a classic case of the arrival fallacy, they had pursued a goal someone else had set for them without actually considering what rewards it would actually bring, leading to disappointment and misery. Letting others to set your goals will make them happy, but not you.
Problem 2: Expecting others to treat you better
Staying with the case study of my parents, they had a lot of problems and were fighting a lot even before I was born and thus there was the expectation that somehow, once my mother had given my father a son, he would then see her as a better wife/mother, treat her a lot better and their relationship would improve. However, they were in that bizarre situation where both parties were literally waiting for the other party to start treating their spouse better and of course, neither made the first move so nothing changed. You should never put your happiness in the hands of another person because the only person you can count on is yourself - if your happiness is contingent on the other party treating you better if and when you achieve a goal, then they may let you down. In an ideal world, of course we want others to treat us with the kind of respect we deserve but there's often no guarantee that we will be treated the way we deserve - instead, the only real safeguard against that is to promise ourselves that we are not dependent on that kind of validation at all, that we're more than capable of giving ourselves all the validation that we need. The way I would approach this is by promising myself real rewards when I achieve my goal, so for example: if I do really well in this exam and score at least 85%, I will go on this awesome holiday or buy those very expensive tickets to the concert of my favourite band because I have earned it. This way, you are removing any uncertainty out of the equation - that way if you get any validation on the way, that's a bonus but not a requirement. It is far easier to earn money than respect, now you can actually buy good customer service with money but that's not quite the same as respect. There's a huge difference in your customer experience when flying business or first class instead of economy class, but you're paying for that exclusive experience. If you really need to feel that sense of being respected after having achieved your goal, that's fine but just be prepared to spend a lot of money for that kind of experience rather than expecting it to be handed to you for free on a silver platter. So go ahead and treat yourself better rather than wait for others to do so, you must retain control of your reward system.
Problem 3: Focusing on the goal and not the journey
Allow me to give you an example: I am now spending quite a lot of effort doing Instagram reels for my gymnastics specific Instagram profile and the results are pretty random. Sometimes I can put in a lot of effort and get a couple of hundred views at best, but then some other videos can have a few thousand views and one even went viral - it got 12,500 views in about 48 hours despite the fact that the sound quality on that video was quite poor and it was hard to understand every word I was saying. I accept that there is something random going on, something that I don't quite understand with the algorithms that determine why one post gets so little attention whilst another goes viral but I really enjoy the process of brainstorming the ideas for a reel, scripting it, rehearsing it, shooting it and then editing it. I just love this whole creative process where I start with an idea or a theme and then I develop it, do my research, look for inspiration and try to come up with something unique that only I can do. Of course, this is something I do for fun and it's quite easy to adopt an attitude like that when it comes to the way I participate in social media but when it comes to your job, some people can lose their focus. I have been guilty of this in the past as I always felt the grass was greener on the other side of the fence. When I wasn't in finance, I longed for a job in finance and thought that would make me happy. When I finally got a job in finance, I thought I was in the wrong role - I was in sales but really wanted to be in either marketing or product development, I thought if only I could switch roles, I would be much happier and when that finally happened, I still struggled with some other aspects of the job. But the answer to that problem was actually a lot simpler than you might imagine - instead of looking for the greener grass, I simply focussed on becoming really good at my job so that I would feel a lot more confident in my ability to do my job very well. Oh just think about how much time I wasted trying to seek the greener grass somewhere else instead of just focussing on improving myself and enjoying the journey. Yes you need goals for your careers but it is also important to focus on your journey rather than your ultimate destination.
Problem 4: After the party is over, what next?
Allow me to use an analogy from the world of gymnastics - a gymnast (let's call her Katrina, not her real name) has a dream of winning an Olympic gold medal, she sacrifices everything in order to achieve her dreams. She drops out of high school to train full time as a teenager, she battles through numerous injuries and has had so many surgeries. She hardly has any social life and her life is so focused on making her dream come true: every single decision is made with her Olympic dreams in mind. So Katrina finally makes it to the Olympics, wins that gold medal and retires from the sport as she simply cannot push her injured body any further. But that's fine, she thought, I have achieved my objective - I can now relax. When she returns home with her gold medal, there's plenty of attention and parties; she becomes a minor local celebrity for a while and is invited on various TV programmes to talk about her Olympic experience. But as the months pass by and the seasons change, those Olympic games become a distant memory and people stop recognizing Katrina in the streets. She doesn't quite know what to do with herself as she hasn't prepared for life after the Olympics and so she turns to the one thing that she knows best - she starts coaching at her local gymnastics club but found training the kids there boring and frustrating. The kids simply weren't as motivated as her or as talented either - most of them were not as focused as she was on becoming a champion. Katrina falls into deep depression as she wasn't happy at all with her life but she doesn't know what to do to find that happiness she had at the Olympics. She thought, I was just 21 years old when I won that Olympic gold medal, is my life just downhill all the way from here? She even contemplates trying to make a come back for the next Olympics but her injuries made that impossible. Yes, winning that gold medal made Katrina extremely happy, but that happiness didn't last and she made the mistake of not planning what to do next. After achieving her primary goal, Katrina needed to then set herself a new goal, a different goal, maybe pursue a different career, a new life outside gymnastics, seek new ways to challenge herself and that's a mistake that we all need to avoid.
Problem 5: Not being flexible enough with your plans.
It is so important to be flexible and adaptable enough when circumstances change. Whilst we need to be clear about our objectives and these are usually something quite generic like happiness, success or wealth. Allow me to give you an example from my own life: when I was 28 years old, I decided to finally give acting a go. I did set myself a new goal then to try to make it in this industry but after a while, I decided okay I've probably gone as far as I could go - it's time to get a proper job to ensure financial security whilst just doing a little bit of acting on the side. It is fun of course but I am never going to get enough work as an actor to sustain myself financially. A person actually attacked me here on my blog and called me a 'failed actor' who didn't work hard enough to follow though with my original plans to make it in showbiz. Whilst that person is entitled to his opinion, I would argue that I didn't start out with all the right information about what working as an actor would entail and it was a steep learning curve. After having gained a lot more new information over the years about how this industry works, I do think I am fully justified to change my plans in light of this new information. Admittedly, I had made some incorrect assumptions in the early days when trying to break into showbiz and I am now in a completely different stage of the process now with so much more experience and accurate information. Thus it would've been foolish not to use this new information when I became wiser. Whilst tenacity and perseverance are vital traits when it comes to achieving success, being stubborn to the point of ignoring new information when your circumstances change is pure stupidity. When I found out that my chances of making it in showbiz were low, I knew that this was not the route to pursue if I wanted to achieve any kind of success and so I changed my tactic, relegated it to a part time hobby and chose different goals instead to achieve the success, wealth and happiness that I wanted. I have met real 'failed actors' who are in their 50s and 60s, still waiting for their big break and struggling to make ends meet - that's the price you pay for not being flexible enough with your methods to achieve your goals. The arrival fallacy in this case is when you are so fixated on one path to happiness, you ignored all other alternatives, including much better ones.
So there you go, that's it from me on the arrival fallacy but what do you think about this issue? Have you ever fallen prey to the arrival fallacy before? Have you observed this pattern of behaviour in others around you? Furthermore, how could we try to prevent ourselves from succumbing to this then? Please leave a comment below and many thanks for reading.
Hey Alex. This is going to sound cynical, but I think arrival fallacy was a societal invention to keep the economy going. If we told every child "just have fun, whatever you do, makes you valid", then people are going to settle for walks in the forest instead of working a job to save money to buy a bigger house. This is usually the argument against universal basic income.
ReplyDeleteHi Amanda, I don't think it was deliberately invented by any party to mislead dumb people, but rather it is dumb people reducing complex issues to simple ones by prescribing overly simplistic solutions. Trust me, you learn a lot when you grow up with uneducated parents whose brains cannot handle complex issues. My sister recently had a complex medical issue (too complex to go into here) and being an educated, intelligent adult, I realized, okay this is as a result of a number of different factors that resulted in this happening and it's going to take a combination of measures (medication + change of lifestyle) to improve the situation. My parents were like, "I heard if you drink ginger juice it will cure it." They probably stumbled upon an article somewhere once upon a time talking about the virtues of the humble ginger - I've got no doubt that ginger is full of minerals and vitamins that are good for our bodies of course, but to then put ginger on a pedestal as this miracle medicine that can cure complex medical issues? Well, that's what incredibly simple minded dumb idiots do - their brains cannot process complex matters and analyse complicated situations, so they reach for a painfully simple answer instead. It is thus with this in mind that they succumb to the arrival fallacy, it simplifies their aim in life, achieve this goal (eg. have a son) and I would achieve everlasting perfect happiness forever and ever. You can see why they go desperately wrong with that kind of mindset.
DeleteOkay, I see your point. Humans like simple solutions. It is easier for a married couple to have a son than to go to couple's counseling and learn to be a more caring person. Oh gosh in the west there's so many married couples who have another kid thinking it will save a marriage. But how does that explain the more complicated tasks people do to be happy? Like someone who inherently hates medicine but tortures themselves trying to be a doctor hoping to be happy? I struggle to explain that one. But my attempt would be that this usually only applies to high prestige achievements. There are many difficult things to learn in the world, why do people only target specific ones if it doesn't make them happy? I think they get enjoyment from the reputation boost of telling people they are studying to be a doctor, even if they're miserable inside. That sounds like someone with low self esteem who needs external validation just to feel happy.
DeleteI also got told by the doctor recently my lifestyle is not good for my health. But I guess that just forces me to show up to tennis and gymnastics more often, which I like doing. I hope your sister is doing better and the issue is fixable.
I'm facepalming so hard reading out the ginger anecdote. If ginger were so miraculous all the Western doctors in the world would simply prescribe ginger and go about their day....
DeleteRef #ginger #gingerjuice that is my classic example of how uneducated folks are hoping to find very, very simple solutions to complex problems they cannot get their heads around. Have you ever played with young children, say about the age of 5 or 6 and they see a complex issue, they try suggesting a terribly simple solution? Well, we let little kids get away with that kinda thing as we don't have high expectations of them to posses complex problem solving skills when it comes to the complicated issues we have to face in the adult world. But what if adults grow up uneducated? They will still talk like 5 year old kids despite being very old, that's the kind of parents I have - I'm trying not to berate them for it and telling myself that this is just because they're uneducated, that's why they say such utterly stupid things and talk like a 5 year old kid; that I should be very grateful that I didn't turn out to be stupid like them (I won the genetic lottery as they say) and I've had a decent education to help me navigate my way around this complex modern world that we live in.
DeleteJust a disclaimer: I'm not condoning or excusing their behaviour - it's just a reflection on why uneducated or low IQ folks end up behaving like 5 year old kids. I know I can't fix or change the situation, thus I'm trying to just react to it by being grateful that I didn't end up like my parents. It goes way beyond having had the chance of receiving a much better education - you could send my parents to Oxford but they wouldn't have the brains to understand anything there. I have been blessed with a higher IQ and I wanna thank the divine entity that granted me that advantage in life.
Delete@Amanda, thanks for your comment. My sister's condition is stable, but it is going to take a complex, comprehensive approach to improve it. My parents were thinking that there was going to be a simple prescription of "take these tablets, 3 times a day after meals, after you finish this course of medicine you will be cured." But with more complex diseases/conditions, there's never a simple 'cure' like that but a long term plan to manage the condition. Anyway, this is why I don't talk to my parents anymore. I've had a roller coaster of a year with good and bad times - for the bad times, I refuse to even talk to them as they would annoy the hell out of me by prescribing a terribly simplistic solution that's just utterly ridiculous and stupid. For the good times, I also don't want to talk to them as they would never understand how awesome my accomplishments are as it's in a world of finance & banking that they haven't the faintest clue about, so they're not going to be able to even begin to understand what I have just accomplished and I'd be left frustrated with them not being proud of what I have just done. I'd be thinking, "most parents would give a kidney just to have a son who has accomplished what I've just done, yet you are staring blankly into space because you are too stupid to even begin to comprehend how awesome I am." So the only way to talk to them is to say absolutely nothing - nothing good, nothing bad but if that's the approach, then why not just stop talking altogether?
DeleteHey Alex. Wow your parents must be really stupid if they don't even understand that all medicines and treatments should be tested and thoroughly vetted by a government agency before approval for use. I mean it took Oxford university and Astrazeneca a long time and extensive testing to get their vaccine approved, and even then a small smattering of blood clot cases in the wild meant it had to be taken off the market. Ginger juice tablets are snake oil with no formal guarantees of ever working.
DeleteAlso, sometimes I feel like Asians don't understand the concept of "emotional support." The idea that even if you can't do anything to make a material change, just saying things like "hey how are you holding up?" or saying "I'm sure you've got this!" is usually enough, and even necessary for people to feel like they are cared about. Even saying "good job!" is so hard in Asian society. Material support is not everything, I just think Asian society is overall not very "holistic."
@Amanda if @LIFT parents are anything like mine, I know they will spread COVID anti-vax conspiracy theories on WhatsApp. But they moment you show them some journal article showing that the vaccine causes more help than harm they quickly said it is government propaganda and refuse to even read it.
Delete#okayboomer
@Amanda, I think we both know my parents are really hideously stupid. That's not even up for debate, like of course they are idiots. But we knew that already, that's a fact that we already know. I can't change that, but I'd appreciate it if you didn't act shocked when I tell you once again that yes, I have parents who are retarded.
DeleteAnd @choaniki, I'm not sure they even know how to use Whatsapp. Which I suppose is a blessing in disguise, it would be good to keep them off the internet given how they would fall prey to all kinds of fake news as they have no ability to distinguish between credible news sources and total rubbish. Case in my point, my mother thinks that internet banking (which everyone uses, duh) is unsafe because she thinks she will press the wrong button and then all the money would mysteriously disappear from her bank account. But the irony is, we don't correct her to try to get her to use internet banking because we worry about how she would fall prey to scammers so easily if she is allowed online as we have already established that my mother is a complete moron with very low IQ. So we just go along with it and say, yes the internet is very unsafe, it's better that you don't go online, just do things the old fashioned way. So she is literally the old granny who queues up at the local bank branch to speak to a human being there.
DeleteOkay Alex, yeah your parents are very simple minded, I've had a lot of examples of that. That's funny you let your mom believe the internet is unsafe to keep her away from scammers. When I used to walk around Sg I'd see these posters warning people about internet love scams, shopping scams, or even sex for money scams. The first and second one I get, but the last one surprised me because the Sg government is usually very conservative in public. I suppose there's enough older people in Sg falling prey to these internet scams that the government has to step in and raise awareness about it.
DeleteThey're beyond simple minded, they're fucking retards, their IQ is so low they deserve to be classified as mentally disabled. Now that I've made it clear, please stop acting shocked the next time I mention they did yet another dumb thing. As for my mother believing that the internet is unsafe, it's not something we had to convince her, she already believes it but then with older folks, they believe everything from public transport to microwaves to cell phones are unsafe because they are so fucking stupid and out of touch with the real world. We were certainly not going to persuade her to go online given that we didn't trust her online, so if she believes that the internet isn't safe - we weren't going to try to change her mind, we were just gonna let sleeping dogs lie given what a total idiot she is and we didn't want her to be getting into trouble online. So it's not like we manipulated her in any way, we saw how things turned out in a way that suited everyone, we said, "that's actually great that she's too afraid to go online" and we were happy with the status quo.
Delete@LIFT your parents are dumber than my dad and that is a good thing. As the saying goes a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. It is because if Whatsapp that my boomer dad joined lots of boomer anti-vax groups and spread around disinformation.
DeleteHi Alex, reading your blog has opened my eyes to many different perspectives. I'm still a young 23 year old man. When I first read this post, I thought, "There's such a thing as arrival fallacy?"
ReplyDeleteWell, I did a 5 minute Google search and yes, all I can say is thank you for warning me about this "Arrival Fallacy". I've just ORD'ed (7th May) from my NS and I have always felt this nagging feeling that if I don't plan for what I'm going to do after ORD, I'm going to wish I was back in the army where at least I have something to do, even though it's not what I want to do.
In my opinion, the "Arrival Fallacy" is just a combination of a few parts such as choice paralysis and tunnel vision. I would describe "Arrival Fallacy" as going into a narrow tunnel and then emerging into a big open field. Like in the army example, when you enlist, you enter the "narrow tunnel", and looking forward to the light at end of the tunnel (ORD). Once you reach the end of the tunnel, you emerge into the big open field called life, now you don't know what to do, where to go and you wonder where's that elusive 'happiness'. That's when you wish that you're still in the tunnel, yeah its dark, yeah its restrictive, but at least you're heading somewhere (that's the reason why some people look forward to reservist).
I have a pretty good idea what I want to do and what I want to be in life. Even then, I have always planned what am I going to do after I've gotten said achievement. I tell myself everyday, "Once you leave the tunnel, pick a direction, run and only look to your left or right, never look back." Hence, before I even ORD'ed, I've planned to get my driver's license, go on ATV adventures, go to LIMA 2023 in Langkawi, go study Aerospace Engineering and eventually get my pilot's license. (*wink* *wink* Even though, it's barely been a week after I've ORD'ed, I do have the impression that some people in my Unit were already excited for their 1st ICT *wink* *wink*)
When I saw the word LIMA I thought you were going to Peru, then I realized it was an event in Malaysia, duh. Have bigger dreams and go for a long haul adventure!
DeletePerhaps I was a bit harsh on you and I was biased - when I was in your position, my ambition and agenda had always been "get the hell out of Singapore, get as far away as possible and secure a future away from Singapore." You are entitled to have different goals and dreams of course and I wish you all the best.
Delete@lhw if you don't mind working overseas I know once flights ramp up in China they will have a pilot shortage so can consider that option if SG doesn't work out (they prefer Malaysian pilots).
DeleteThanks @LIFT for the shoutout and referral to get me into finanace. I am now writing out my long career "success" story on LinkedIn and will post it here once ready. Akan datang.
ReplyDeleteFor anyone who is interested this is my career story:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.linkedin.com/pulse/from-humble-roots-financial-freedom-one-persons-inspiring-terence-tan
Thank you for giving me a platform to share.
Delete