Q1: Why are people so obsessed with face masks?
Okay, so let's begin with the facts first: face masks do not protect you from the Coronavirus. Hell no. If you're sick, you wear a face mask because you don't want to pass your germs onto other healthy people out of courtesy. This is quite commonly done in countries like Japan, where people are generally very considerate and polite. However, if you are healthy, wearing a face mask is going to do very little to protect you from the Coronavirus. The authorities keep saying that, but people are still queuing for ages and buying loads of face masks (often at inflated prices) as if they are useful or necessary - that's just plain stupid. So the question I can't answer is this: why are so many people so bloody stupid when it comes to the face mask? Yes, in Hubei province, at the epic center of the outbreak, wearing a mask is mandatory by law because the virus is so widespread the authorities don't know who is infected and who might be a carrier, so they are making everyone wear masks not to protect the healthy people, but to stop anyone who may be a carrier from spreading the disease, despite not showing many symptoms. I don't abide by the principle of 'oh it can't hurt' or 'I am just being extra careful' - really? In this day and age, are people really that stupid, like are they choosing to trust their own instincts instead of listening to official advice from doctors and healthcare professionals? There are practical ways to minimize your risks of exposure to the virus such as washing your hands properly and regularly, but face masks simply don't work.
Q2: Why are people stockpiling food and other supplies?
Good grief. There are so many cities around the world where people are panic buying food and toiletries - from Hong Kong to Romania to Australia to America - people are running to the supermarket and panic buying! Why? It is ridiculous! Even in Wuhan, the city most badly affected by the virus, supermarkets and pharmacies remain open - the Chinese government are making sure that the supermarkets and pharmacies in Wuhan are well-stocked and prices remain normal. The worst case scenario is that there is a massive outbreak of the virus in your city or town and the government imposes an Wuhan-style lock down to prevent the spread of the virus - that doesn't mean that supplies will no longer reach local shops in an area under lock down. Again, we have no protection against this mystery virus: people feel the need to do something when they are panicking in order to feel safe again. Okay, they can go wash their hands thoroughly and clean their homes but beyond that, there's really little they can do especially if they have to go into public spaces and use public transport. So they feel the need to do some kind of ritual to feel safer and if they see others panic buying at the local supermarket, there's a herd mentality - they blindly follow the others even though there's no real need to do so. Whilst this may appease their desperate desire to do something constructive about the situation, it also goes to show how stupid and irrational people can be. Do they genuinely believe that if they returned to the store next week, the price of their staples like rice, cooking oil and bread would suddenly triple because of the virus? Or would the virus cause a shortage of food supplies? None of that has happened so far, not even in China - so why are people still panic buying?
Oh I actually unfriended someone over this. He was sharing a lot of misinformation on Facebook about the origins of the virus - these were completely unproven conspiracy theories cooked up by some paranoid idiot, but once it gets posted on the internet, it gets shared a lot. I didn't have the time or energy to confront him or challenge him - I simply unfriended him as I don't need friends like that. Sure we're all interested in find out more about how this is going to affect our lives, but why turn to conspiracy theories at a time like this? Some of the stuff this ex-friend had posted were so fucking ludicrous, I am not even going to discuss them here as those theories are just so fucking stupid. If you are interested (hey, you're entitled to morbid curiousity), just do a google search for Coronavirus conspiracy theories. These people are just spreading fake news about everything from the origins of the virus to how it is spread and how it should be treated - that's just downright malicious and devious. I do wonder what these people get out of this? Okay, we want to get attention on social media, but most of us just post selfies on Instagram whilst these people cook up crazy conspiracy theories to mislead, confuse and obfuscate the public? What the hell do they get out of it? And surely most people out there know the difference between obtaining their news from a reliable source like the BBC, CNN, ABC or SCMP rather than some dodgy website with no credibility whatsoever sharing fake news and conspiracy theories? Are people really that stupid? Why can't people discern the source of their online news - why do they share this kind of fake news then?
Q4: Why are people actually scared of getting the virus then?
Most of us will only experience very mild symptoms, if any. The only people who may suffer quite severe symptoms are the elderly over the age of 80 and those with underlying medical conditions. So for the rest of us, if we get it, there's no treatment available for it and you'll probably just get well in a few days. It is not going to kill the vast majority of us since the mortality rate is under 2%. What we should be worried about is how it would disrupt our everyday lives - Japan has just shut down all schools for a month and if you're a Japanese parent with young children, then you are probably desperately trying to make arrangements for childcare if you have to work. Furthermore, I'm sure many of you would have seen how the stock markets have crashed in recent days and for those of you with investments like pensions invested in the stock markets, well you've just seen a significant amount of your life savings wiped out. That's a lot more painful than actually getting the virus! Likewise, if you have made any kind of plans to travel (for work or for holiday), then there's a possibility that you're going to have your plans severely disrupted because we're dealing with a moving goal post. So the way the outbreak in Northern Italy has spread so quickly is an example of how the situation can escalate suddenly - we tend to plan our trips weeks (even months) in advance, rather than booking it last minute so your destination may look relatively unaffected for now but with Covid-19 you really don't know what to expect day by day. A good example of this was a flight from Seoul to Tel Aviv on the 22 February: there was nothing to suggest that anything was amiss when the flight took off but the Israeli government suddenly changed their minds and decided only to allow the 12 Israeli citizens on the plane to disembark, before sending the plane back to Seoul. This decision was taken just two hours before the plane landed in Tel Aviv - bear in mind that is a 15.5 hour flight. That was just awful for the passengers.
I am so fucking sick and tired of hearing white people pronouncing Wuhan as "Woo-Han" with han to rhyme with ban instead of bun. This includes white people in China and even in Wuhan. Then again, let's take another city in the West: Paris. We just accept that when we speak English, it is pronounced like "pair-ris" when in French, it is "Pah-ree" - the final S is silent. Likewise, English speakers call the Italian capital Rome when it should be Roma. Once we start going down that road, good grief, English speakers have corrupted and changed the names of so many cities around the world: Moscow (Moskva), Warsaw (Warszawa, pronounced Varshava), Vienna (Wien, pronounce Vien), Athens (Athina), Florence (Firenze), Turin (Torino), Venice (Venezia), Geneva (Genève), Cologne (Köln), The Hague (Den Haag), Prague (Praha) and Brussels (Bruxelles) - I could go on and on and on, these are just European cities that English speakers have decided, fuck it, I can't pronounce it, I can't spell it either, it just sounds too bloody foreign to me: I'm just going to turn Köln into Cologne and the local inhabitants in Köln will just have to get used to the fact that their city has an English name. But hey, with smaller towns, the English haven't gotten round to corrupting their names: take the small seaside town of Scheveningen in the Netherlands, it is not an easy place name to pronounce but it would be totally un-PC to try to "anglicize" that name in this day and age! Certainly, when we hear people speak in English and they mention Rome or Paris, we don't really bat an eyelid when it is pronounced the English way. But if you're a reporter in China, reporting on this story - then surely you would have heard the locals pronounce Wuhan as 'Oo-hun', so surely they should make an effort? Likewise, Daegu is actually pronounced more like Tay-gu, with a T rather than a D. So why are white people so freaking lazy? Or should we just accept that Wuhan has an 'English' name now like Rome, Moscow, Prague and Vienna?
Q6: Can you really trust people to self-isolate/self-quarantine?
Now I read a story from Singapore about the very strict measures taken by the Singaporean government to deal with people who had recently returned from China who deemed to be high-risk when it came to spreading the virus. This includes surprise home visits by health officials and those who break their quarantine are indeed hit by harsh punishments. The government in Singapore is also ready to offer S$100 a day to those in self-quarantine to compensate for their loss of earnings - it is not much but for those on low-income, that at least means that they are able to pay their bills during the quarantine. So, hats off to the Singapore government for managing the situation so well, but in the UK, ooh boy. The government are asking people to self-isolate/self-quarantine but there are no checks whatsoever, they're just trusting people to do the right thing but no one has any clue if they are doing it. Furthermore, there is no money offered to those who are unable to work because of the quarantine - at times like this, I can only look at the British government and shake my head in disbelief. I just don't trust British people. I remember watching a Youtube video how a Japanese farmer in rural Northern Japan had put out all his fresh produce in a shed by the roadside with the prices marked out and there was an 'honesty box' there, for people to leave the money - guess what? It totally works because Japanese people in that community are very, very honest! If you did the same thing in England, all the vegetables and the honesty box would be gone in a matter of minutes. So some measures would work in a place like Japan, but in the UK, hell no, we need to tag these people in quarantine and monitor them with GPS trackers or else it wouldn't work at all. Hence, the UK needs to do things the Singaporean way - not the Japanese way as British people are just not as honest.
Yes, COVID19 virus is not very deadly. However, as it's very infectious,there is a risk of overwhelming the medical system. People with other medical condition may not get the medical support. This is what most people fear.
ReplyDeleteWell yes, I have a father in his 80s with underlying medical conditions - hence I am worried about him.
DeleteWell, it is a fact that Singapore medical care is top notch and no death here yet. So it is fortunate your father is based here.
ReplyDeleteWell yes that is true indeed. I totally agree with that.
DeleteYou can't really trust people to self quarantine in Singapore. They have already fined and revoked the PR of some people for providing false travel history and breaking their LOA. In fact the authorities are so strict as to call and do home visits for those who were given home quarantine orders just so that they do not go out and put other people at risk.
ReplyDeleteExactly, that's why I think Singapore's approach to this matter is the only way for it to be effective - what they're doing in the UK is a joke in comparison and we're now in for a sustained outbreak with many, many cases being reported daily.
Delete1. Facemasks do work when worn properly. Here are a couple of articles about the study of facemasks.
ReplyDeletehttps://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/184819
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19193267
The people from the vulnerable groups feel safer wearing a facemask because they're at a higher risk of the disease, and those living with them want to reduce the chances of passing to them.
They remind you not to touch your face, since they cover the nose and mouth.
https://youtu.be/IkdPFCStA38?t=220
They're a great social distancing tool, since people are likely to avoid you either because they don't know if you're sick or they think you're a weirdo. Either way, you've limited social contact, which is a win if your goal is to avoid contact as much as possible.
Ideally, healthy people should wear N95 while sick people should wear surgical mask, but the problem is that not everyone who's sick is aware that they're sick. The UK businessman who went to Grand Hyatt and later passed his germs to people in a chalet in France and a pub was reported to have no symptoms, so some health experts believe that asymptomatic transmission is possible.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7990525/Coronavirus-super-spreader-revealed-businessman-scout-leader-Brighton.html
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/uk-virus-super-spreader-grand-hyatt-business-meeting-recovered-12423482
There's been other examples of people who are believed to have passed the illness to others without symptoms.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762028
Your body can still carry the virus even after your symptoms go away for an unknown period of time, like with the German guy who got it from the Shanghai woman, "recovered", and then was discovered to still have the virus despite no longer showing symptoms.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2001468
If everyone is wearing a mask (sick or not), you would have limited spread since you've reduced droplet transmission.
Granted, masks alone (when worn properly) aren't enough to prevent you from falling sick, but they together with proper hand washing, good hygiene habits, disinfecting surfaces that you touch often and being socially responsible, they help to reduce your chances of falling sick. As for people who would increase their risk of getting infected through improper mask usage, all that needs to be done is to teach them how to use them properly. I know Hong Kong and Japan have tv segments devoted to proper mask usage, and I'm certain that South Korea and Taiwan do that too. It's not that hard.
The reason why the world leaders and the media are telling people masks are useless is because there's a global shortage of masks, so they're prioritizing getting the supply to healthcare workers rather than the general public. Which makes a lot of sense for the Singapore government to do since they're rationing the supply and currently don't produce their own masks. For Taiwan, I heard that during the initial days of the outbreak, their government told them that masks were useless, but after they started manufacturing their own and have enough for their citizens, started telling everyone to wear them.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/guidance-risk-assesment-hcp.html
DeleteAccording to the CDC, a healthcare worker wearing a facemask lowers their risk of getting infected when they have prolonged contact with an infected person.
Hi SN. Thanks for your responses. Let me try to respond to the points you have made.
DeleteFace masks: Yes they can work if they are worn and used properly but in reality, many people lack the knowledge of how to use them. They don't change the mask often enough, they wear it incorrectly (too loose for example) or they wear the wrong kind of mask - in the end, it gives them a false sense of security that they are somehow 'protected' when really, they are not at all under those circumstances. I have no doubt that you've done A LOT of research and have a lot of correct information given the points you've made - well, I've news for you, the average human out there is pretty darn stupid. Yup, they're really fucking stupid. My friend just posted on Facebook about this woman saying she didn't dare to eat Chinese food because of Covid-19, like how fucking stupid is that? Thus face masks in the hands of an intelligent, well-informed person like you would be very useful as you know how to use them properly, but in the hands of that stupid woman afraid of Chinese food, well, it's useless really.
2. Yes if there aren't enough masks for everyone, then we need to prioritize them for medical and front line workers.
Oh and one further point: face masks won't keep you healthy if you do other silly things like touch your face with dirty hands and if you don't wash your hands properly regularly; it's just one of so many things that may help in the prevention of getting infected. I am just resigned to the fact that I am gonna get it if I haven't already and I'll just deal with whatever life throws at me.
Delete4. If your healthcare system is very good, then your chances of dying are low. But as Jon pointed out, the virus has the potential to overwhelm the hospitals. Also, even people without commodities can develop serious complications that require medical care (https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/coronavirus-covid19-survivors-on-fighting-the-virus-12459198). If your hospitals get overwhelmed from getting too many patients at once, people like her who would have survived under normal circumstances would have died due to being turned away because of insufficient medical equipment. Many people died in Wuhan because the hospitals got overwhelmed quickly, and sick people were traveling from one hospital to another trying to get help, before ultimately returning home. Some countries' hospitals already run near full capacity before the outbreak, so who knows how they're going to cope with all these extra cases?
ReplyDeleteNot just that, but other people who aren't infected but need medical help for other conditions or accidents would now be at risk of not getting the help they need due to the medical team being stretched thin.
Both healthcare staff and the patients who aren't infected are also at risk of getting infected if the hospitals aren't careful in handling infected patients. Several doctors and nurses (both young and old) in Wuhan have died to the virus, and there have been stories of patients in the hospital who contracted the virus while in a hospital for something else. If doctors and nurses around the world start getting infected too, it becomes harder to contain the virus and easier for hospitals to get overwhelmed.
Even for patients who have recovered from the virus, there's a risk that their lungs become permanently damaged. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/02/200228142018.htm
The virus may also damage the kidneys and testes, and could potentially infect the brain.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022418v1
https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/health-problems/chance-coronavirus-could-infect-your-brain/news-story/c870059fe7168a8d833bdef647254ab9
Hospitals and the virus: all true of course, but don't forget it overwhelmingly kills older patients over the age of 70. For most of us, when we get the virus, we'll experience mild or little/no symptoms. So for me right now, my only concern is how this may affect my elderly parents: my dad is over 80, my mum is nearly 80. I'm not that worried about what may happen to me, but rather how this would affect them as I'm not in a high risk group (ie. I'm 43 and am in good health).
Delete2. Now that I've answered Q4, I can speculate the reason why people are stockpiling. If the hospitals get overwhelmed and you've fallen sick, you may have to stay at home to recover. The duration could be anywhere from a few days to a month, depending on the severity. You're not going to be in any condition to go out and get supplies/food, and it would be extremely irresponsible to do so while sick. People could also be stockpiling in the event they get quarantined, and would probably prefer to eat the stuff of their choosing than whatever the quarantine team are providing. Lastly, supply chains are getting disrupted. China produces almost everything, and their factories have either stopped running or at reduced capacity, so other companies around the world are now impacted. If your medicine, supplements and/or other important things you normally use run out (eg. alcohol swabs for diabetics), you may not be able to restock until who knows how long. Getting it when you're still healthy makes sense, but it should have been done earlier, when the world saw how bad it got in China, and not when everyone else was panic buying since large crowds should be avoided whenever possible.
ReplyDeleteStockpiling: I think there's a certain herd mentality at work when people just follow what others are doing without thinking about practical things like supply chains. The classic one is with toilet paper when people just panic buy because others are doing so rather than consider if their toilet paper is made in China or elsewhere and what possible impact there is on the supply chain for this product. Even if I had to be quarantined, then I would use online shopping to pick the food I want to buy and have it delivered - unless you're in Wuhan where the whole city is locked down, delivery services are still functioning. Heck, in Wuhan, even the supermarkets are still open (one of the few things that are still open, along with pharmacies). I live in the UK and that's pretty darn far from China, so even if China produces a lot of things, often it is cheaper to produce them in Eastern Europe for example rather than China once you factor in transport costs.
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